TLEconomics Graduate | Data, Finance & AI·🟢 Open to work
Tom Leslie portrait

Economics graduate | Data analysis, financial modeling & applied AI

I turn messy information into decisions: econometric research on 28,000+ NYC buildings, an NBA forecasting pipeline, financial models, and a clickable AI workflow prototype for email.

Work samples

Selected projects in econometrics, financial modeling, sports analytics, and applied AI. Each shows how I frame a question, work with data, and communicate a decision.

  • Senior Capstone Thesis | Econometric Analysis of NYC Local Law 97 Compliance
    Senior Capstone Thesis | Econometric Analysis of NYC Local Law 97 Compliance

    Skidmore College · May 2026

    Senior Capstone Thesis | Econometric Analysis of NYC Local Law 97 Compliance

    Built a 28,132-building panel from two NYC datasets, cleaning 91,000+ records and deriving expected penalties from statutory emissions caps. Modeled compliance in Stata using fixed-effects linear probability models; found higher-value buildings absorb penalties rather than retrofit, contradicting th

    StataComplianceEnergy
  • Financial Lead | Chipotle South Africa Entry Marketing Project

    Skidmore College · Dec 2025

    Financial Lead | Chipotle South Africa Entry Marketing Project

    Constructed a risk-adjusted 3-year P&L and JV structure (5% royalties, 50% profit sharing) enabling zero-CAPEX entry, forecasting $2.1M maximum net cash flow across 16 locations.

About me

I turn messy information into decisions: econometric research on 28,000+ NYC buildings, an NBA forecasting pipeline, financial models, and a clickable AI workflow prototype for email.

I graduated from Skidmore College in May 2026 with a BA in Economics and a Management and Business minor. My thesis studied NYC building compliance with Stata models; I also built a Python NBA forecasting pipeline and led a South Africa market-entry P&L. For RelayIQ, I designed a clickable AI CRM prototype and documented an email classification workflow. I am seeking entry-level data, financial, pricing, and applied AI roles in NYC.

Experience

Digital Operations Assistant

Stephen Barker · Summer 2024

Education

Skidmore College, Saratoga Springs, NY

Bachelor of Arts, Major: Economics, Minor: Management and Business · Class of 2026

Syracuse Study Abroad, Florence, Italy

Columbia Grammar and Preparatory School, New York, NY

Class of 2022

Skills

PythonExcelStataData AnalysisFinancial ModelingStatistical AnalysisForecastingAI Workflow DesignAPI IntegrationData VisualizationSQLite
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Senior Capstone Thesis | Econometric Analysis of NYC Local Law 97 Compliance

Built a 28,132-building panel from two NYC datasets, cleaning 91,000+ records and deriving expected penalties from statutory emissions caps. Modeled compliance in Stata using fixed-effects linear probability models; found higher-value buildings absorb penalties rather than retrofit, contradicting th

StataComplianceEnergy

Overview

Built a 28,132-building panel from two NYC datasets, cleaning 91,000+ records and deriving expected penalties from statutory emissions caps. Modeled compliance in Stata using fixed-effects linear probability models; found higher-value buildings absorb penalties rather than retrofit, contradicting the initial hypothesis.

Senior Capstone Thesis | Econometric Analysis of NYC Local Law 97 Compliance

What I've accomplished

Merged two NYC datasets, cleaned more than 91,000 records, derived expected penalties from statutory emissions caps, and estimated fixed-effects linear probability models in Stata.

Outcome

The results challenged my initial hypothesis: higher-value buildings appeared more likely to absorb penalties than retrofit. I documented the model and its limitations in my senior thesis.

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Financial Lead | Chipotle South Africa Entry Marketing Project

Constructed a risk-adjusted 3-year P&L and JV structure (5% royalties, 50% profit sharing) enabling zero-CAPEX entry, forecasting $2.1M maximum net cash flow across 16 locations.

Overview

Constructed a risk-adjusted 3-year P&L and JV structure (5% royalties, 50% profit sharing) enabling zero-CAPEX entry, forecasting $2.1M maximum net cash flow across 16 locations.

What I've accomplished

Built the three-year P&L, stress-tested revenue and cost assumptions, and modeled a joint venture structure with 5% royalties and 50% profit sharing.

Outcome

The proposed structure projected up to $2.1M in net cash flow across 16 locations under the modeled scenario. This was an academic market-entry recommendation, not a launched expansion.

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Sports Analytics Platform | NBA win-probability model with live data pipeline

Fit a logistic win-probability model in Python on 5 NBA seasons, validated on a held-out season (Brier 0.204, 70% accuracy vs. 55% baseline); built a live pipeline converting market prices into implied probabilities to benchmark forecasts.

Python

Overview

Fit a logistic win-probability model in Python on 5 NBA seasons, validated on a held-out season (Brier 0.204, 70% accuracy vs. 55% baseline); built a live pipeline converting market prices into implied probabilities to benchmark forecasts.

What I've accomplished

Built the Python modeling and live data pipeline, converted market prices to implied probabilities, and evaluated forecasts against a held-out NBA season.

Outcome

The held-out model scored 0.204 Brier and 70% accuracy versus a 55% baseline. The project demonstrates prediction, validation, and clear performance benchmarking.

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RelayIQ | AI CRM workflow and clickable prototype

Designed an AI CRM workflow that turns inbound email into structured, prioritized records for human review. Created the product specification, operator playbook, workflow diagram, and clickable prototype.

AI Workflow DesignPrototypingProduct Strategy

Overview

Designed an AI CRM workflow that turns inbound email into structured, prioritized records for human review. Created the product specification, operator playbook, workflow diagram, and clickable prototype.

RelayIQ | AI CRM workflow and clickable prototype

What I've accomplished

Mapped the intake and review steps, specified LLM classification and scoring logic, and built a clickable interface to make the proposed workflow concrete.

Outcome

Delivered a reviewable product concept and prototype. Gmail integration and automated classification are part of the specification, not a deployed production system.

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Business Strategy Case | Target Corporation

Proposed a technology and furniture rental program tied to Target Circle to close differentiation gaps, supported by a 5-year Excel financial model with pricing and efficiency assumptions. Presented and defended projections directly to Target executives, earning recognition for strategic clarity.

Excel

Overview

Proposed a technology and furniture rental program tied to Target Circle to close differentiation gaps, supported by a 5-year Excel financial model with pricing and efficiency assumptions. Presented and defended projections directly to Target executives, earning recognition for strategic clarity.

Business Strategy Case | Target Corporation

What I've accomplished

Built a five-year Excel model for a proposed technology and furniture rental program, including pricing and operating-efficiency assumptions.

Outcome

Presented and defended the academic recommendation to Target executives. The proposal remained a strategy case rather than a launched Target initiative.

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Photography Portfolio

Built and published an online portfolio with full post-production workflow (RAW, Lightroom, Photoshop); grew site visits 162% in 90 days via Analytics-driven SEO.

LightroomPhotoshop

Overview

Built and published an online portfolio with full post-production workflow (RAW, Lightroom, Photoshop); grew site visits 162% in 90 days via Analytics-driven SEO.

Photography Portfolio

What I've accomplished

Built and published tomleslie.photos, managed RAW editing through Lightroom and Photoshop, and used site analytics to refine search visibility.

Outcome

Site visits increased 162% over 90 days following analytics-informed SEO changes. The photography portfolio remains an ongoing personal project.

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